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Changes in long positions are important to consider. Increasing longs express a bullish sentiment, and decreasing longs express a bearish sentiment. Interest rate can be pushed up if there is little funding available, so it is a good idea to keep an eye on both interest rates and available funding. At the top of the page there is a section where you can see how much USD funding is available. The risk of liquidation means that margin traders are "weak hands" that can easily be shaken out of their positions.
If there are too many longs this can result in a long squeeze. If Bitcoin interest rate is high, traders are less likely to borrow Bitcoin to go short. Interest rate can be pushed up if there is little Bitcoin funding available, so that is worth considering. At the top of the page there is a section where you can see how much Bitcoin funding is available. Changes in short positions are important to consider. If shorts increase then sentiment is bearish, and if shorts decrease then bearish sentiment is decreasing.
If there are too many shorters then that can lead to a short squeeze. This chart shows the distribution of longs and shorts as a percentage of the total margin interest, and tracks how this distribution has changed over time. Sometimes you will see a sudden and substantial drop in the total amount of shorts that has no effect on price. This can seem surprising because you usually complete a trade when you close a short position. The explanation is that the closed short position was hedged. In other words the trader that closed his position did not need to go into the market to buy cover when the position was closed.
Essentially the chart is reflecting how much BTC has been added or removed on the short side red line and how much BTC that has been added or removed on the long side green line. If the green line is above the red line then sentiment can be said to be more bullish than bearish.
Likewise sentiment can be said to be more bearish than bullish if the red line is above the green line. Short liquidations are green, and long liquidations are red. This chart shows the volume liquidated for the Bitcoin-USD trading pair each day for the past two weeks timeframe is fixed. This chart shows the total volume liquidated for the selected timeframe. About Bitcoin. Trade Bitcoin. Futures: Spot:.
Bitcoin development. Mana vs. Percent longs and shorts. Left Y: Percent short vs. Hedged and unhedged shorts. Left Y: BTC shorts. This may signal an overall increase number of short positions openings for the crypto space, which may signal a bearish sign. I squared the chart added fib circles. We still haven't broken the sentiment on Crypto - The dip is not in -- too much longs around. The more I hear it is in, the more I am sure it is not.
Good luck. Plotted significant bitfinex shorts tops and bottoms, very ugly chart thus I hid it. I think the correlation is nicer with longs?
BTC Shorts made a rapid higher 3rd low as you can see. It's primed up and ready for the moon. When resistance is broken, it basically goes to price discovery. Stay safe. BTC price fell but was immediately bought up. If BTC breaks below 28k then is the last defense to avoid 22k, approximately the wma level. Not trading advice. We may see a rally in June up to late July. Then another in 4Q leading into Jan The Bitfinex whale den, as it's known.
Unless the whales swam away into deeper waters, why is it that there are less shorts than there were at the last major drop in the price of Bitcoin in July ?? I mean, look at the chart.
The number of shorts opened is miniscule unless there are plenty more coming. Whales and market movers are not confident in a I just recently found this tool useful in timing the approximate time to be ready to sell or to buy BTC. However, during the 29k bottoming process, there was so much pessimism that the shorts continue for a while even after bottoming.
Please provide a meaningful and detailed description of your analysis and prediction.
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